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The last few years haven't been kind to the PC manufacture. From a high of 365 million devices shipped in 2022, the industry has contracted to only 263 million units shipped (estimated) for 2022. That's more than a 25 percent drib, and information technology'due south had a serious touch on multiple companies, from HP's decision to separate its consumer and enterprise production divisions, to Dell'southward decision to go private several years ago. Afterwards six straight years of declines, Gartner is predicting a small recovery, though 2022's estimated sales will still be lower than 2022.

This recovery will exist principally driven by significant growth in what Gartner calls the premium ultramobile space, every bit traditional laptop and desktop sales are expected to decline from 220 million units in 2022 to 188 1000000 units in 2022. The latter decline reflects what we've previously predicted: Every bit conventional desktop and laptop systems live for longer periods of time, customers replace them less quickly. Workstations and gaming PCs have shown some signs of growth over the last few years. But these are loftier-end, boutique systems by definition, and full growth in that space doesn't offset the general decline of the desktop and laptop marketplace on the whole.

Tabular array 1, shown below, breaks down the categories and expected growth or pass up rates.

Table1-Gartner

We reached out to Gartner for clarification on device categories and were told that premium ultramobile devices are the high-end ultrabooks and 2-in-one designs with starting prices at or above $1,000. These systems utilize Intel Core processors–AMD may brand a play for some of them with its upcoming Raven Ridge, but that's nevertheless to exist determined–and feature SSDs and support a wide range of scenarios that crave loftier system performance (content creation, video editing, transcoding, etc). Shipments in this category are expected to jump from l million units in 2022 to 81 one thousand thousand units in 2022.

Basic and utility ultramobiles, co-ordinate to Gartner, is a less-specific group of products focused primarily on content consumption. This would include the low-cost ultraportables based on Atom (Goldmont), but also covers Android tablets, non-Pro iPads, Windows RT (when information technology was applicable), and Chromebooks. Growth here is expected to be negative or flat, though we don't know which specific products volition change. Gains in Chromebook shipments, for example, could be offset by a decline in Cantlet sales or iPad sales.

The 0.8 percent projected growth for PC shipments in 2022 comes courtesy of a business organisation refresh prediction and new support from the Chinese government. Windows 10 deployments have been delayed in that country due to security concerns, only Microsoft is working on a version of the Bone that will laissez passer muster with China. Ranjit Atwal, research manager at Gartner, believes improved sales in Russia will besides heave the overall market.

"The features of Windows 10 could exist especially useful for the Chinese Authorities that is looking to move from desktops and notebooks to ultramobile premium devices," Atwal said. "We expect this development to positively impact the PC market in 2022."